Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.028611 0.034090 0.039807 0.046176 0.053036 0.060169 0.068113
2026-01-25 0.020372 0.028036 0.036572 0.046597 0.057885 0.070061 0.084059
2026-02-01 0.014908 0.023630 0.033946 0.046603 0.061346 0.077676 0.096857
2026-02-08 0.010066 0.018910 0.030098 0.044449 0.061710 0.081285 0.104708
2026-02-15 0.007086 0.015910 0.027831 0.043731 0.063368 0.086056 0.113589
2026-02-22 0.005325 0.014206 0.026932 0.044460 0.066556 0.092443 0.124182
2026-03-01 0.003991 0.012826 0.026253 0.045300 0.069748 0.098733 0.134575
2026-03-08 0.003126 0.012004 0.026220 0.046880 0.073778 0.105962 0.146017
2026-03-15 0.002265 0.010923 0.025664 0.047661 0.076731 0.111840 0.155825
2026-03-22 0.002146 0.011345 0.027368 0.051506 0.083570 0.122420 0.171199
2026-03-29 0.001241 0.009634 0.025593 0.050444 0.084049 0.125208 0.177269
2026-04-05 0.000808 0.008844 0.025181 0.051217 0.086845 0.130790 0.186643
2026-04-12 0.000405 0.007824 0.024346 0.051441 0.089046 0.135815 0.195585
2026-04-19 0.000164 0.007012 0.023776 0.052011 0.091698 0.141419 0.205267
2026-04-26 0.000024 0.006100 0.022892 0.052037 0.093579 0.146027 0.213720
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004602 0.020594 0.049758 0.092229 0.146487 0.217047
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003721 0.019351 0.048997 0.092876 0.149417 0.223347
2026-05-17 NaN 0.003322 0.019096 0.049770 0.095618 0.154999 0.232892
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002988 0.018932 0.050661 0.098506 0.160759 0.242649
2026-05-31 NaN 0.002857 0.019248 0.052334 0.102489 0.167924 0.254145
2026-06-07 NaN 0.002558 0.019070 0.053160 0.105264 0.173525 0.263698
2026-06-14 NaN 0.002949 0.020806 0.057226 0.112646 0.185090 0.280661
2026-06-21 NaN 0.002278 0.019499 0.056104 0.112632 0.187070 0.285715